Long-term stock market returns definitely do not come in nice, straight lines.
As 2019 approaches, and with US stocks outperforming non-US stocks in recent years, some investors have again turned their attention towards the role that global diversification plays in their portfolios.
Larger movements in the daily stock market prices are back. The reports we read in the paper, hear on the radio and see on the TV all say we should be doing something.
From September 30–October 10, the US market (as measured by the Russell 3000 Index) fell 4.8%, resulting in many investors wondering what the future holds and if they should make changes to their portfolios. While it may be difficult to remain calm during a substantial market decline, it is important to remember that volatility is a normal part of investing.
“Purpose of the margin of safety is to render the forecast unnecessary.” – Ben Graham
If you are feeling uneasy about your investment performance during these periods of volatile market activity, watch this video, “Tuning Out the Noise”, to help remind you of the importance of remaining disciplined during uncertain times.
Markets have been up and down this year, which can be hard for many investors to live with. During periods like these, hearing stories about how other people deal with uncertainty can be helpful.
Please read about our New Client Portal! The attached message was sent in Mid-March, with the New Client Portal emails sent a few days after that. If you have not established access to the New Client Portal and would like to do so, please contact our office.
The investing world always presents us with moments of “Firsts”. The news media is great at highlighting the first time the market did this or did that. However, they leave out much of the context.
“The general is well aware that your division’s forecasts are worthless. However, they are required for planning purposes.” Kenneth Arrow, a Nobel Memorial Prize winner in 1972 who recently passed away in 2017, began his career in the Weather Division of the Army Air Force during World War II. His division was in charge of predicting future weather patterns. Given his economic and statistician background, he recommended to his general that his unit be disbanded because they were no better at predictions than historical averages for the day in question. As the quote above suggests, the division remained intact.